Opinion & Analysis 4 mins read

Why the Ukrainian-Russian front was seriously strained.

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Anyone who reads and analyzes what is going on in the world sees that all the threads of tensions are intertwined, starting from the Ukrainian front, passing through the Strait of Hormuz and its complications, down to East Asia, where the island of Taiwan is located.

Each front has its own characteristics, but it is not isolated from any other front because there are key players who have influence on every front, and here I mean the United States, Russia and China.

After the quagmire in which the United States plunged into its war with Iran, which has not yet been able to conclude a victor agreement on US terms, this quagmire disturbed the global balance of power, because this war led to the depletion of the US military defense stockpile, especially the various anti-ballistic missile system, as US President Trump was left alone in front of Iran and its regional arms without the support of NATO countries, especially European ones, either in military or political interventions to end this conflict, which affected in general the world economy and the US economy in particular, especially the two most important straits for the supply of gas Oil, supply chains and goods are as insecure as they used to be.

Throughout the past period, Russia has been monitoring what is happening in the Middle East, and it has been running a battlefront in Ukraine for more than 4 and a half years, as international efforts to end that war failed, the Russian president had nothing but shuffling cards on the Ukrainian Front, taking advantage of the frosty relationship within NATO between the United States and European countries, as the Russian president realized that prolonging the war for years to come is like going to the abyss himself, because European countries started two years ago with a self-reliant military strategy to build up their defensive power, and it will be completed definitively with the advent of 2030; as the Russian president took advantage of the lack of the defense inventory of defense systems ;this will put political pressure on the United States and Europe to end the Russian-Ukrainian war as soon as possible, what Russia did last month by launching an armed drone to hit Leipzig Airport in Germany under the pretext of having a plane carrying a shipment of weapons to Ukraine, in addition to the Russian-Polish escalation and the threat by one of the aides of the Russian President that he will erase Poland within 3 days if Russia directly threatens; all because now the opportunity is appropriate to put pressure on Europe and the United States to end the Ukrainian war,and that the United States meddling in this issue to trade Russia By pressuring Iran to sit down at the negotiating table with a good deal as the US President dreams of. 

As for the Third Front, which is Taiwan, we see that China is also closely watching what is happening on the other two fronts, especially that the oil and gas supply chains destined for China have been affected by the Strait of Hormuz crisis, and believes that the United States is racing against time in advancing artificial intelligence by building data centers, the enormous energy supporting them and advanced chips produced by Taiwan for them.

Therefore, China will be preparing for the next unconventional war to regain Taiwan, which depends entirely on artificial intelligence and robots, and there is a complete blackout of those preparations, because the next war between the United States and China is caused by this technology; whoever will win will own the huge progress in artificial intelligence, and prevent the other from advancing it, and this does not lie through China dominating and occupying the island of Taiwan, where Taiwan has become producing about 90% of the very advanced chips that will make the difference in any future war using artificial intelligence and robots.

GM at Jokins Center for Strategic Studies. 
Expert, strategic and economic analyst. 
Engineer Mohannad Abbas Haddadin.

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